用微信扫码二维码

分享至好友和朋友圈

WE ARE COMMITTED TO REPORTING THE LATEST FORESTRY ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENTS

基于MaxEnt模型预测中华秋沙鸭越冬期在四川省的适宜分布区

Predicting the suitable wintering distribution areas for the Mergus Squamatus in Sichuan Province based on the MaxEnt model

  • 摘要: 中华秋沙鸭(Mergus squamatus)是东亚特有种,国家一级重点保护野生动物,研究中华秋沙鸭在四川省的栖息地分布现状能为中华秋沙鸭的保护工作提供数据支持。通过野外调查和中国观鸟中心数据库获取四川省内中华秋沙鸭的327个分布位点,筛选得到91个分布位点,结合25个环境因子,采用参数优化后的MaxEnt模型对中华秋沙鸭在四川省内的适宜分布区进行预测,并分析影响其越冬栖息地选择的关键环境因子。结果表明:在四川省,中华秋沙鸭的适宜分布区主要位于四川盆地及川西南山地地区,其主要的栖息地湿地类型为河流湿地,主要位于该区域长江三级以上水系,具体包含长江、沱江、岷江、涪江、嘉陵江、渠江、青衣江、安宁河、大渡河等流域。影响其越冬栖息地选择的主要环境因子为土地利用类型Lc(28.6%)、海拔elevation(27.2%)、人类活动指数HII(22.4%)和最暖季降水量bio18(7.5%),累计贡献率达到85.7%。基于上述结果,提出以下保护建议:(1)增加保护区数量,提升中华秋沙鸭关键栖息地的保护覆盖率;(2)扩大已规划为保护区域的保护范围,并提升保护等级;(3)健全监测体系,科学开展巡护监测,加强社区保护宣传教育,增强保护区域周围居民保护意识。

     

    Abstract: The Mergus squamatus is an East-Asian endemic and National First-Class Protected Species in China. Quantifying its current habitat distribution in Sichuan Province provides the baseline data required for evidence-based conservation planning. We collated 327 occurrence records from field surveys and the BirdReport, retained 91 high-quality presences after spatial filtering, and coupled them with 25 ecologically relevant predictors. A tuned MaxEnt algorithm was used to (i) project the wintering suitable habitat across the province and (ii) identify the principal environmental drivers of habitat selection. Model predictions revealed that the most suitable wintering areas are concentrated in the Sichuan Basin and the southwestern Sichuan mountainous areas. Within this region, mergansers almost exclusively occupy riverine wetlands associated with third-order or higher tributaries of the Yangtze drainage, specifically the main-stem Yangtze, Tuo, Min, Fu, Jialing, Qu, Qingyi, Anning and Dadu watersheds. Land-cover type (Lc, 28.6%), elevation (27.2%), Human Influence Index (HII, 22.4%) and precipitation of the warmest quarter (bio18, 7.5%) were the four most influential variables, together explaining 85.7% of the observed habitat suitability pattern. We therefore recommend: (1) Designating additional protected sites to increase coverage of the species’core wintering habitat; (2) Expanding the spatial extent and upgrading the protection status of existing reserves that overlap high-suitability areas; (3) Establishing a long-term monitoring scheme, implementing science-based patrols, and launching community outreach programmes to raise local awareness and reduce anthropogenic disturbance.

     

/

返回文章
返回