用微信扫码二维码

分享至好友和朋友圈

WE ARE COMMITTED TO REPORTING THE LATEST FORESTRY ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENTS

牧民对若尔盖草地退化认知与恢复措施偏好及其驱动因素分析

Herders’ Preferences for Grassland Restoration Measures and Their Driving Factors in the Ruoergai Nature Reserve

  • 摘要: 草地生态系统覆盖全球约40%的陆地,支撑数亿牧民生计,具有重要的生态意义与经济价值。然而,受人类活动与气候变化的共同影响,全球近半草地面临退化,其恢复治理成为重要挑战。牧民是草地的主要使用者,其对恢复措施的认知和偏好在很大程度上决定着恢复成效。基于若尔盖国家级自然保护区范围内200户牧民的问卷调查,考察了牧民对草地退化状况及其成因的主观认知,并分析了牧民对禁牧、补种+禁牧、季节性休牧和草畜平衡四类措施的偏好及其驱动因素。结果显示,牧民倾向于将草地退化归因于鼠兔或气候变化等自然因素,而忽视过度放牧对草地的影响。在恢复措施选择上,季节性休牧更受牧民偏好(47.00%),其次为补种+禁牧、草畜平衡和禁牧(分别占10.50%、10.50%和8.50%),另有4.88%和19.50%选择“均不参与”和“不知道”。多分类逻辑回归模型分析显示,参与动机、对草地退化成因的认知、既往参与经历等因素均显著影响牧民对草地恢复措施偏好其选择。首次比较了牧民对不同恢复措施的偏好,弥补了以往研究聚焦于单一措施的不足,为理解牧民的行为选择及优化草地管理政策提供了更精细化的实证依据。

     

    Abstract: Grasslands cover about 40% of Earth’s land, supporting millions of herders while providing vital ecological functions. Yet nearly half are degraded due to human activities and climate change. Herders, as primary users, shape restoration outcomes through their perceptions and choices. Based on a survey of 200 households in the Ruoergai National Nature Reserve, this study examined herders’ views on degradation causes and their preferences for four restoration measures: grazing exclusion, seeding with grazing exclusion, seasonal grazing rest, and balancing grazing capacity. Results show herders mainly attributed degradation to natural or biological factors (e.g., pikas, climate change), with limited recognition of overgrazing. Seasonal grazing rest was most preferred (47%), compared with seeding with grazing exclusion (10.5%), balancing grazing capacity (10.5%), and grazing exclusion (8.5%). Regression analysis indicated that motivation, perceptions of degradation, and prior experience significantly influenced choices. By comparing preferences across multiple measures, this study complements earlier single-focus research and offers insights for adaptive grassland management policies.

     

/

返回文章
返回